Prediction of wet and dry periods of the West African monsoon
Tilmann Gneiting, Peter Knippertz
Sub-project of CRC-TRR 165
The aim of this project is an improved understanding of the planetary to mesoscale dynamics and processes that enhance/reduce the predictability of precipitation on daily to weekly time scales over the West African monsoon region. Novel aspects and particular challenges of this project lie in the identification of suitable metrics to determine tropical-/midlatitude-only and mixed weather regimes over West Africa during the pre-, full, and post-monsoon seasons and in the application of postprocessing techniques for ensemble forecasts in tropical rather than midlatitude environments.